Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.202235 0.220141 0.239175 0.260962 0.285264 0.311600 0.342384
2026-01-25 0.166251 0.190613 0.218242 0.252087 0.292689 0.340156 0.400327
2026-02-01 0.145036 0.172481 0.205072 0.247021 0.300151 0.365971 0.454901
2026-02-08 0.129169 0.157974 0.193420 0.240852 0.303593 0.385085 0.501208
2026-02-15 0.117538 0.147132 0.184650 0.236536 0.307780 0.404226 0.548334
2026-02-22 0.110991 0.141956 0.182312 0.239884 0.321803 0.437229 0.617956
2026-03-01 0.103766 0.135144 0.177010 0.238346 0.328362 0.459748 0.674253
2026-03-08 0.096956 0.128294 0.170977 0.235004 0.331613 0.477205 0.724245
2026-03-15 0.090286 0.121123 0.163887 0.229381 0.330664 0.487742 0.763785
2026-03-22 0.087891 0.119758 0.164859 0.235593 0.348132 0.528611 0.859227
2026-03-29 0.085207 0.117756 0.164688 0.239921 0.362828 0.566256 0.954011
2026-04-05 0.081639 0.114209 0.161937 0.239922 0.370328 0.592314 1.030889
2026-04-12 0.076712 0.108472 0.155680 0.234131 0.368075 0.601936 1.079357
2026-04-19 0.071804 0.102523 0.148776 0.226841 0.362706 0.605572 1.116885
2026-04-26 0.067987 0.098033 0.143870 0.222469 0.361989 0.617564 1.173327
2026-05-03 0.064259 0.093480 0.138590 0.217060 0.358886 0.624595 1.220070
2026-05-10 0.061168 0.089766 0.134438 0.213267 0.358346 0.636420 1.279147
2026-05-17 0.059682 0.088513 0.134191 0.216211 0.370540 0.674778 1.405614
2026-05-24 0.057457 0.085955 0.131638 0.214859 0.374373 0.696387 1.495851
2026-05-31 0.055086 0.083047 0.128337 0.211920 0.374824 0.710854 1.570807
2026-06-07 0.052508 0.079682 0.124094 0.206971 0.370847 0.715286 1.620572
2026-06-14 0.051932 0.079599 0.125435 0.212438 0.388334 0.768975 1.812249
2026-06-21 0.051093 0.079030 0.125891 0.216244 0.402712 0.817399 2.000191